Transitional Success: USSR to EU
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The Czechoslovakian revolution took place peacefully and over a much longer
period of time than events in other former Soviet Union or Warsaw Pact
nations. Hints of major reform in Czechoslovakia began as early as 1968.
Czechoslovakian officials, under Soviet power, moved incrementally to begin
the long road towards decentralization and independent Czechoslovakian
rule. Their increasingly effective efforts became known as the Prague
Spring, a time of growth, change and development.
Success was, of course, neither immediate nor easy to achieve. The Cold War
reached a pinnacle in the Eighties and the winds of change began to blow in
Central and Eastern Europe. The CEE nations endured many hardships. Soviet
oppression, though waning by this time, became largely unbearable. Change
in Czechoslovakia came from the ground up; dissidents quietly began to
return to popular power. The revolution gained momentum by 1989.
‘Revolutionists’ began to demand sweeping economic and political reform.
They were backed by well organized and very timely strikes and protests.
After a two hour general strike on November 27, 1989, proving the immediate
and widespread power and cohesion of the revolution, the Soviet controlled
authorities finally agreed to negotiate.
Through the negotiation process and threat of further massive general
strikes, former dissidents assumed officially sanctioned ‘concessional’
positions. Within months, they gained near complete (and very real) control
of the Federal Assembly. On December 29, 1989, Mr. Havel, a very famous and
popular Czech dissident, became President of Czechoslovakia (renamed the
Czech and Slovak Federalist Republic).
This initial political victory represents only half of the nation’s
success. Within the first three years of self rule, harsh economic (and
subsequent political) realities forced the nation to divide once again. The
nation as a whole was unable to accommodate the vast discrepancies between
the western Czech and eastern Slovak regions. Massive economic reforms
brought this to the popular agenda as Slovakia suffered greatly while their
Czech counterparts seemed to benefit from reform.
The government in Prague wished to move swiftly to further reform efforts.
Slovakia hindered Czech success and in turn suffered greatly by this Czech-
led reform. Slovakia simply could not move as rapidly toward a market
economy due to the economic configuration left to them by years of Soviet
planned economics.
Political Overview: Restructuring for Transition
In 1992, Vladimir Meciar, a very strong nationalist was elected prime
minister of the Slovak Republic, while Vaclav Klaus, a moderate federalist, was elected in the Czech Republic. Unfortunately, these two leaders were
unable to agree on common economic and political strategies to govern the
CSFR. Klaus’s reform plans, now legendary, were simply inappropriate for
the fledgling Slovak regions. Slovakians felt alienated from the government
reform in Prague. Within a short time it was very clear that the Czech
regions could not completely support their Slovak countrymen through the
transition. The two leaders agreed to divide the Czech and Slovak
Federalist Republic (CSFR) into the Czech and Slovak Republics on January
1, 1993.
Federal assets and liabilities were split between the two nations in a two
to one ratio. The Czech Republic received the larger portions reflecting
both size and population. Again, the split was achieved peacefully, without
massive debate. The two countries agreed to form a customs union. They
implemented identical foreign policies with respect to third countries, and
forbid tariffs or ‘bans’ between themselves. They also formed a temporary
monetary union, which collapsed within months as both countries
unexpectedly experienced a massive drain on foreign reserves during this
time. To more fully understand the current developments in the Czech
Republic, one must examine the historical economic decisions made before
the break-up in 1993 as outlined below.
Transition to Market Economy Overview: 1990-1991
CSFR economic reformers went to work immediately following the collapse of
Soviet rule. The reform package included near complete liberalization of
prices, a complete reversal of former exchange and trade systems and an
impressive preparation for massive and rapid privatization. These efforts
were supported by financial policies including a “pegged” exchange rate, currency devaluations, and restrictive fiscal, monetary and wage policies.
Monetary Policy
Although monetary policy is discussed in a separate section, it needs to be
briefly addressed here to understand the conditions in which the transition
occurred. Monetary policy in the initial stages of transition ensured that
inflation remained in control throughout currency devaluations and price
liberalizations. The CSFR devalued its currency by 20 percent in 1991 after
several smaller devaluations before hand. Taken as a whole, these
devaluations reduced the value of the currency by half within six months.
Generally, monetary policy remained tight throughout the entire period.
Fiscal Policy
Undoubtably, the goals of the CSFR economic reformers were to drastically reduce government spending. The former centrally-planned, output-driven economic policies were no longer effective for the new capitalist democracy. Restructuring government expenditures was a key component of reform. The main changes, aside from massive privatization discussed below, forced reduced subsidies wherever possible. Every sector of society, with the exception of health, welfare and education, saw an abrupt end to government subsidies. In 1991 alone, for example, officials reduced government spending by 12 percent to reach 47 percent of GDP. This trend continued throughout the transition. Massive government spending, a hallmark of socialism, ended virtually overnight.
Areas where government spending remained high would remain so throughout the reform process. Health and welfare for poor, elderly, unemployed and children is a very difficult situation in any government, especially one in transition. Reformers focused primarily on industry and energy in the initial stages, leaving the areas of greater uncertainty to be dealt with in a more stable political environment.
Price Liberalization
As an almost immediate measure, subsidies to foodstuffs and energy were reduced by nearly 50 percent. Retail prices for most household items increased by nearly 25 percent literally overnight. By the end of 1991, the Czech government controlled only 6 percent of prices in the country as compared with 85 percent in early 1990. Only basic necessities, oil, and agricultural products remained under state control. To offset some of these shocks, wages increased, though only slightly and not nearly enough to meet the increased cost of living. Politically powerful trade unions prevented the passage of even more drastic reform measures. Plans in 1991 to increase the price of electricity, heating oil and coal by nearly 400 percent and rent by 300 percent were delayed until 1992 and 1993.
Foreign Trade and Investment
After an initial currency devaluation of nearly 50 percent, the government
adopted an adjusted exchange rate connected to a “basket” of convertible
hard currencies. Internal convertibility of hard currencies was established
in 1991. These two measures combined to foster trade and investment.
Initially, the CSFR set a 20 percent surcharge on imports coupled with a 5
percent tariff. These obstacles soon ended as major provisions were passed
to more actively encourage trade and investment. Initial steps toward
private property rights and the dissemination of publicly owned lands
further enhanced the investment environment.
Privatization
Privatization is by far the most critical and complicated development the
CSFR had to address. Speed was critical. The ‘default mechanism’ ensured
that current managers and persons of powers would assume control and create
their own joint venture agreements with foreign entities.
State firms that were nearly completely vertically integrated needed to be desegregated by form and function. And the process had to be done well, for flailing industries would simply increase state expenditures. Failures did not decrease expenditures in compliance with the transitional reform strategy. The CSFR privatization plan was threefold. Small-scale privatization was the easiest. Retail stores, restaurants and small service or industrial workshops were sold to the highest bidders in weekly public auctions. Where no CSFR buyers were found, a second round of auctions allowed foreigners to bid.
Property restitution was more difficult. The government needed to equitably
redistribute land that had been taken nearly 40 years earlier. This is a
difficult and involved issue. CSFR citizens are allowed to claim land taken
from them, though the burden of proof is on them. Where no proof exists, special arrangements can be made for state assistance. In areas of
conflict, the issue will be brought to the courts. A large part of the
country was not in private hands before Soviet rule. Some of this land can
be used as an offering to parties where disputes over ownership exist.
Also, lands that have been improved (shops, developments, houses, etc.) are
sold at specially determined rates to the former property owners. Prices
and possible alternative compensation for those owners who do not wish to
purchase these ‘improvements’ are again settled by a special court
arrangement.
Large-scale privatization progressed swiftly. Some state-owned firms were sold outright to private interests while others remained under indirect state control until buyers were found, legal or economic concerns settled, or parliamentary debate resolved.
Social Policy
The strong tradition of labor unions and their political strength proved crucial to social security reforms throughout CEE. The CSFR was no exception. Labor unions were instrumental in keeping CSFR unemployment at very low levels and social safety net benefits quite high. Essentially the state guaranteed incomes at a minimal level to meet the ‘cost of living’ for the unemployed or the under-employed. Pensioners and parents of children received benefits adequately covering bare essentials. Further benefits for health care were distributed at the local level as the health system still remained under state control.
Problems of Transitional Monetary Policy and the Financial Sector
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